The Arizona Wildcats (0-2) play the UCLA Bruins (1-2) Saturday in a Pac-12 showdown in the Rose Bowl at 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Arizona-UCLA college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
Arizona at UCLA: Betting odds, spread and lines
Arizona at UCLA: Three things to know
UCLA was beaten in a close one by Oregon last week, 38-35, and covered as an 18.5-point underdog despite playing without several key contributors because of COVID-19 complications. Junior QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson was one of the Bruins out last week and his status for this game is unknown.
Arizona was utterly dominated last week in a 44-27 loss to Washington. The Wildcats were down 37-0 entering the fourth quarter, were out-gained 233-72 in rushing yards and had just 22:43 of possession.
UCLA lost last year’s meeting with Arizona 20-17 and pushed as a 3-point underdog. It was a struggle for Thompson-Robinson who completed 17 of 33 passes for just 180 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception.
Arizona at UCLA: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks
UCLA 41, Arizona 21
Money line (ML)
PASS ON THE MONEY LINE.
I haven’t seen enough out of this Arizona team to even have a little confidence in the Wildcats as underdogs and no way I am paying that kind of price for a UCLA outright win.
Against the spread (ATS)
This Chip Kelly thing is starting to come together at UCLA and the offense is settling into his system. The Bruins rank 21st in points per game, 27th in yards per game and 16th in 3rd down conversion percentage.
It’s not an overreaction to assume UCLA’s offense will have success when you look at this Arizona defense. The Wildcats sit at 117th in opponent’s points per game, 114th in opponent’s yards per game and 102nd in opponent’s 3rd down conversion percentage.
Sight unseen with Thompson-Robinson’s health status, I go against my better judgment and TAKE UCLA -11 (-110) for 1 unit as a home conference favorite.
There are way too many points projected by BetMGM here and I’m on the UNDER 69.5 (-110) for 1 unit. No question UCLA should be able to put up points against Arizona but I don’t see the Wildcats offense having much success.
I figure UCLA will sustain drives with its ground game and that’ll eat up the clock. The Bruins are 17th in rushing yards per game while the Wildcats are 109th in opponent’s yards per rush.
Also, UCLA is due for some turnover luck as it has done a good job getting into the backfield—the Bruins have 27 tackles for a loss in 3 games—but are minus-7 in turnover differential and Arizona has zero takeaways.
GIMME UNDER 69.5 (-110).
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