- Jurgen Klopp has lost his five Champions League visits to Italy
- Atalanta are unbeaten in five group games
- Liverpool have lost eight of their previous 14 Champions League trips
- Duvan Zapata has scored three times in two group games this season
Difficult test for Reds’ defence
Liverpool have lost all three of their away UEFA Champions League matches in Italy under manager Jurgen Klopp. The German hasn’t had a great time on these shores, losing all five Champions League visits to Italy as a manager.
If he’s going to change that, then he has to navigate one of Europe’s trickiest tests with a makeshift backline. Atalanta’s relentless pressing and attacking talent makes them the perfect team to expose Liverpool’s weaknesses.
Since losing their first three group stage games in the UEFA Champions League last season, Atalanta have gone unbeaten in their last five group stage games in the competition (W3 D2).
Duvan Zapata has been directly involved in six goals in five UEFA Champions League starts for Atalanta (four goals and two assists). Three of those goals have come in two group games this term, with Zapata scoring four times in his last three for Atalanta.
The hosts were winners at the weekend and we think they’re overpriced against a Liverpool side who have struggled on the road, even at their best. The Reds have lost eight of their last 14 Champions League games away from Anfield.
With Liverpool weakened at the back, vulnerable on the road and especially shaky in Italy, Atalanta are a great price here to record an impressive victory. We’re backing the hosts to take the points, with a 2-1 home win our correct score prediction.