Kentucky at Florida odds, picks and prediction

Marcus Mosher
| Sportsbook Wire

The Kentucky Wildcats (3-5) visit the Swamp to take on the Florida Gators (6-1) Saturday at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium for a noon ET kickoff. Below, we analyze the Kentucky-Florida college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Kentucky at Florida: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line : Kentucky +1000 (bet $100 to win $1,000) | Florida -2000 (bet $2,000 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS : Kentucky +23.5 (-110) | Florida -23.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under : 60.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Kentucky at Florida: Three things to know

  1. Florida QB Kyle Trask is a Heisman candidate, as he has thrown 31 touchdowns to only 3 interceptions. He has thrown for over 350 yards in three-straight games.
  2. Kentucky has lost 19 of its last 20 games against Florida.
  3. Florida has been an excellent home team over the last two years, winning 10 straight home games.

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Kentucky at Florida:Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Florida 45, Kentucky 17

Money line (ML)

Florida (-2000) is a huge money line favorite. Its offense is producing at an elite level as with nearly 45 points per game. The Gators are just the far better team and don’t lose at home.

PASS on this money line as it’s far too chalky and the payout isn’t worth the potential risk.

Against the spread (ATS)

FLORIDA -23.5 (-110) is a four-score favorite. Anytime a spread is over 21 points, it gets a little more difficult to pick given the potential for a back door cover; however, Florida has the type of offense that can score into the 40s and cover a spread like this.

Can Kentucky score into the mid-20s to stay within 23 points? Probably not. Take Florida to score a ton of points in this game and cover.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 60.5 (-110) is the smart play here given the firepower of Florida’s offense. TE Kyle Pitts is one of the most explosive players in the country and he is expected to be on the field today after missing the last two weeks. The Gators should be able to score into the mid-40s, allowing the Over to hit. If Kentucky can get into the 20s, this game could easily see 65-70 points scored.

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