NFL Betting Preview: Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills – Sunday, Sept. 20, 2020

The Buffalo Bills hit the road this weekend to take on the Miami Dolphins in a conference rivalry game. The Bills opened the season with a win last weekend against the Jets while the Dolphins fell to the Patriots in Foxboro to open the 2020 slate.

The Bills have the potential to stampede

Third-year quarterback Josh Allen seemed to enjoy his new toys in week 1, passing for over 300 yards and two scores while not throwing an interception. Allen hooked up with offseason addition Stefon Diggs on eight of nine targets for 86 yards while rookie Zach Moss had three receptions on four targets for 16 yards and a score.

One concern for the Bills heading into this game is the health of wide receiver John Brown (6 rec. 70 yards 1TD week 1) who is questionable for the game with a bad foot.

The Bills are 4-2 against the spread in their last six games against the Dolphins and 5-1 straight up in those six contests.

Swimming with sharks

The Dolphins continue to run Ryan Fitzpatrick out as their quarterback and while he has moments of “Fitzmagic” he is more often than not a turnover waiting to happen. Against a Patriots defense that I wouldn’t consider to be overly strong, he threw for fewer than 200 yards and three picks. He also fumbled the ball once though it was not lost.

To make matters even worse, two of the Dolphins biggest playmakers are questionable against the Bills as both Jordan Howard and Devante Parker are battling ailing hamstrings.

The Dolphins are 5-15 straight up in their last 20 games and 0-6 against the spread in their last six games played in September.

My Pick

This line opened at Bills (-3) but Bovada currently has it at Bills (-6). Even though Fitzpatrick is playing at home where he is historically much better, I don’t believe that I can get behind the Dolphins if both Howard and Parker are dinged up. Even without John Brown the Bills have plenty of offensive weapons in Diggs, Moss, and premier back Devin Singletary.

The Bills are 7-3 straight up in their last ten matchups against the Dolphins while the over has hit in 8 of those ten contests. That number currently sits at 41 at Bovada but 40.5 at BetOnline. For my money, I am taking the Bills to both win and cover in this contest as Josh Allen is just as good on the road as he is at home thus far in his career.

Spooky Express Free Play – Buffalo Bills -3

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