The following are betting tips for selected fixtures in Gameweek 19 of the 2020/21 English Premier League.
This extended Gameweek features fifteen games spanning Saturday the 16th of January through to Friday the 22nd (AEDT). This article covers the fixtures between Saturday and Monday (AEDT). A second article will be published early next week to cover the remaining fixtures.
Where two or more options are provided for the same tip, pick the one that best suits your risk appetite.
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West Ham vs. Burnley
Back Under 2.5 goals at 1.80 (Unibet)
Back Under 1.5 goals at 3.50 (Unibet)
Burnley have the 19th best offence this season but they also boast the 11th best defensive record. When you combine these stats you get low scoring games. Over the last twelve months 11 of Burnley’s 16 away fixtures went under 2.5 goals and six of their last seven games went under this total. Furthermore, five of Burnley’s last six games went under 1.5 goals. West Ham boast the 6th best defensive record in the league and last season this fixture ended with Burnley winning 1-0.
Leeds vs. Brighton
Back Leeds +0.5 at 1.30 (bet365)
Leeds have won 3 of their last 5 and they have won their last two home games. Brighton, meanwhile, have only won 1 of their last 16 games. The Seagulls are on a nine-game winless streak that stretches back to November. At the same time, Brighton play attractive football and regularly avoid defeat, with four of their last six fixtures resulting in stalemates.
Sheffield United vs. Tottenham
Back Under 2.5 goals at 1.90 (bet365)
Sheffield United’s last five fixtures have gone under 2.5 goals, while all four of Tottenham’s away fixtures against below average teams this season went under 2.5, with two going under 1.5.
Back Tottenham in the head-to-head at 1.60 (Sportsbet)
Sheffield United have lost 11 of their last 13 fixtures. They have yet to pick up a point against a side higher than 15th this season. The Blades did beat Newcastle 1-0 in the previous Gameweek, but the visitors went down to 10 men in 45th minute and Sheffield Utd’s goal came from the penalty spot.
Liverpool vs. Manchester United
Back Liverpool +0.5 at 1.32 (bet365)
Manchester United are undefeated in their last 11 league fixtures, winning 9 of them. The visitors also boast a 7-1-0 away record this season. Having said all of that, Liverpool haven’t lost at home in three calendar years. The last team to beat Liverpool at Anfield was Crystal Palace in April 2017. Since then Liverpool have stretched their unbeaten streak at home to 67 games.
Manchester City vs. Crystal Palace
[note that Crystal Palace haven’t played their midweek away fixture against Arsenal at the time of writing]
Back Man City to win to nil at 1.73 (Unibet)
With seven consecutive wins across all leagues and cups, Manchester City are now in their best form of the campaign. They are in 11-3-0 form in all competitions and they only conceded three goals in that period. Over the last twelve months 11 of Man City’s 12 home wins were to nil, while 8 of Crystal Palace’s 9 away defeats were to nil. All five of Palace’s last five away defeats to City were to nil.
Back Man City -1.5 at 1.52 (bet365)
Nine of City’s twelve home wins over the last twelve months were by 2+ goals, while 8 of Palace’s 9 away defeats were by 2+ goals. Of Palace’s last five away defeats to City, four were by 3+ goals.