The Denver Broncos will take on the New Orleans Saints at 4:05 p.m. ET on Sunday at Empower Field at Mile High. The Broncos are 4-6 overall and 2-3 at home, while New Orleans is 8-2 overall and 3-1 on the road. The Saints have won seven consecutive games. The Broncos have split their past four games.
New Orleans is favored by 6.5 points in the latest Broncos vs. Saints odds from William Hill Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 43. Before entering any Saints vs. Broncos picks, you’ll want to see the NFL predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,800 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago. It is a sizzling 19-10 on top-rated NFL picks this season, returning almost $800. The model also enters Week 12 on an incredible 115-75 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has set its sights on Broncos vs. Saints. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NFL betting lines for Saints vs. Broncos:
- Broncos vs. Saints spread: Broncos +6.5
- Broncos vs. Saints over-under: 43 points
- Broncos vs. Saints money line: Denver +235, New Orleans -275
What you need to know about the Broncos
Denver beat Miami 20-13 this past Sunday. The Broncos rushed for 189 yards and outgained the Dolphins 459 to 223. Melvin Gordon led the team with 84 rushing yards and two rushing TDs. He has 80-plus scrimmage yards and a rushing TD in two of his past three home games. Gordon has 523 rushing yards this season and is one of two players with 500-plus rushing yards in each of his past six seasons. Phillip Lindsay rushed for 82 yards and has 75-plus scrimmage yards in his past three home games.
Drew Lock completed 18 of 30 passes for 270 yards last week. He is aiming for his fourth game in row with 250-plus passing yards. Lock has nine TDs (eight passing) vs. five INTs in seven career home starts. Tim Patrick had five catches for a career-high 119 yards last week. Bradley Chubb and Malik Reed each have a sack in their past three home games. Justin Simmons has an INT in three of his past four games.
What you need to know about the Saints
Meanwhile, the Saints rolled to a 24-9 home win over the Atlanta Falcons this past Sunday. Taysom Hill accumulated 233 passing yards and rushed for two TDs and 51 yards in his first career start. He became the fourth quarterback in NFL history with two or more rushing TDs in his first career start. Michael Thomas had season-high nine receptions for 104 yards. He has 489 career receptions and surpassed Jarvis Landry (481) for the most catches by a player in his first four seasons.
Alvin Kamara ranks second in the NFL with 1,179 scrimmage yards and became the first player with 500 rushing yards and 500 receiving yards in each of his first four seasons. He leads running backs with 67 receptions and ranks second in total TDs (12). Cameron Jordan had a season-high three sacks in Week 11, his fourth career game with three-plus sacks. He has 13.5 sacks in his past 10 games on the road. Sean Payton is winless against Denver in three meetings.
How to make Saints vs. Broncos picks
The model has simulated Broncos vs. Saints 10,000 times and the results are in. It is leaning over on the total, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Saints vs. Broncos? And which side of the spread hits in over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Saints vs. Broncos spread to jump on Sunday, all from the model that enters Week 12 of the NFL season on an incredible 115-75 roll.