- At home, the Indianapolis Colts are 3-point favorites over the Tennessee Titans
- Sunday betting record: 7-1; 5.57 units won
- Indy won 34-17 at Tennessee on Nov. 12 – read below four our betting prediction
The Indianapolis Colts and Tennessee Titans meet on Sunday for the second time in 17 days. And just like that Nov. 12 game at Tennessee, the winner between the 7-3 Colts and 7-3 Titans will be able to claim top spot in the AFC South.
Indianapolis won the previous meeting 34-17. In fact, the Colts have won four of the past five games between the two teams.
Oddsmakers are listing the Colts as 3-point home favorites. The line opened with Indianapolis as the 3.5-point chalk.
Titans vs Colts Odds – Week 12
|Tennessee Titans||+160||+3 (+104)||O 51.5 (-110)|
|Indianapolis Colts||-182||-3 (-118)||U 51.5 (-110)|
Odds taken Nov. 27th at DraftKings
Kickoff at Lucas Oil Stadium is set for 1pm ET. Game-time temperature is projected to be 47 degrees, with clouds and 5 mph wind. Not that it should matter. This contest is being played indoors.
Colts Aren’t Horsing Around
In the past two games, Indianapolis has claimed top spot in the AFC South from the Titans. Then the Colts handed the NFC North-leading Green Bay Packers just their third loss of the season.
In the first meeting with Tennessee, Indy’s powerhouse defense was able to take away the Titans’ passing game. The Colts are the NFL’s #2 total defense (298.1 yards per game). They’re also the NFL’s #5 scoring defense (20.8 points per game).
By contrast, Tennessee ranks #25 (388.9 ypg) and #18 (25.9 ppg) in these categories. As well, the Titans are the NFL’s worst third-down defense. Opposing offenses convert 53.96% of third-down plays against Tennessee.
Tale Of Two QBs
Indy’s Philip Rivers is where Tennessee’s Ryan Tannehill was a year ago. He’s in his first season with a new club after spending his entire prior NFL career with another team. Rivers, though, appears to finally be finding a comfort zone with the Colts.
#Colts QB Philip Rivers over the last five games:
• 67 COMP%
• 10 TDs
• 3 INTs
• 4-1 record
Rivers is getting into rhythm at a perfect time. pic.twitter.com/qyogZ3T2sN
— Locked On Colts Podcast (@LockedOnColts) November 23, 2020
The Indianapolis offense has generated 34 points in each of the past two games. In the win over the Titans, Rivers was 29-of-39 for 308 yards and a touchdown. Indy is now the NFL’s #1 offense (414.9 ypg) and the #4 scoring offense (30.7 ppg).
Tannehill struggled in that game. He was just 15-of-27 for only 147 yards. The Colts are the #4 pass defense in the NFL (208.9 ypg).
Titans Go As Henry Goes
Derrick Henry rambled for 133 yards in last week’s win over the Ravens. The Titans are #5 in the NFL in rushing (151.1 ypg).
DERRICK HENRY CALLED GAME
— SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) November 22, 2020
Indianapolis is #3 in the league at stopping the run (89.2 ypg). In the previous meeting, by taking away the pass, the Colts were happy to put strength against strength. Henry ran for 103 yards but Indy won easily.
Colts running back Jonathan Taylor enjoyed his best game since Week 2 in the win over Packers. The rookie ran for 90 yards on 22 carries.
The Colts will be without three defensive starters. Defensive linemen DeForest Buckner and Denico Autry (COVID-19) and linebacker Bobby Okereke (ankle) are out.
Philip Rivers, Quenton Nelson and Justin Houston are all back at Colts practice today after missing Wednesday.
— Zak Keefer (@zkeefer) November 27, 2020
Safety Khari Willis (ribs) and LB Anthony Walker (shoulder) are questionable. On offense, Rivers (toe), guard Quenton Nelson (back), center Ryan Kelly (neck) and wide receiever Zach Pascal (knee) are questionable.
Titans WR Adam Humphries (concussion), LB Jadeveon Clowney (knee), tight end MyCole Pruitt (knee) and cornerback Adoreé Jackson (knee) are out. G Roger Saffold (ankle) is a game-time decision. Center Ben Jones (knee) is questionable.
Indianapolis has owned this series. The Colts have won 15 of 18 games from the Titans. They swept the season series as recently as 2018.
The rematch. #TENvsIND | #ForTheShoe pic.twitter.com/r6qTMKtU4l
— Indianapolis Colts (@Colts) November 27, 2020
Tennessee is 2-10 straight up in its last 12 trips to Indy. The road team has won four straight and five of the last six between these two teams.
Best Bet: Over 51.5 points (-110).